Primary Outlook: Rodriguez Likely
General Election Outlook: Likely-Safe Democratic
State Rep. Joaquin Castro, has held this seat since 2002, when he ousted former State Rep. Art Reyna in the Democratic primary and defeated Republican Nelson Balido in the general election. Since that time, the closest election was in 2006 when Balido ran a second time. Castro scored nearly 58% of the vote.
He was unopposed or had Libertarian opposition the rest of the time.
